Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.025964 0.028094 0.030227 0.032522 0.034916 0.037337 0.039967
2025-08-10 0.021662 0.025014 0.028494 0.032361 0.036522 0.040848 0.045672
2025-08-17 0.018876 0.022902 0.027195 0.032080 0.037446 0.043131 0.049576
2025-08-24 0.016873 0.021380 0.026300 0.032007 0.038385 0.045241 0.053115
2025-08-31 0.015132 0.019980 0.025387 0.031770 0.039013 0.046898 0.056056
2025-09-07 0.013742 0.018864 0.024691 0.031681 0.039720 0.048568 0.058943
2025-09-14 0.012309 0.017591 0.023723 0.031198 0.039907 0.049596 0.061058
2025-09-21 0.011053 0.016445 0.022831 0.030735 0.040058 0.050532 0.063026
2025-09-28 0.009715 0.015110 0.021640 0.029853 0.039665 0.050800 0.064192
2025-10-05 0.009286 0.014894 0.021783 0.030542 0.041095 0.053148 0.067722
2025-10-12 0.008712 0.014452 0.021617 0.030833 0.042033 0.054912 0.070570
2025-10-19 0.008002 0.013787 0.021137 0.030709 0.042452 0.056053 0.072682
2025-10-26 0.007575 0.013517 0.021192 0.031300 0.043804 0.058376 0.076282
2025-11-02 0.006842 0.012794 0.020646 0.031135 0.044247 0.059649 0.078689
2025-11-09 0.006138 0.012057 0.020040 0.030860 0.044527 0.060704 0.080823
2025-11-16 0.005573 0.011480 0.019614 0.030789 0.045037 0.062017 0.083248
2025-11-23 0.005003 0.010851 0.019086 0.030557 0.045326 0.063049 0.085327
2025-11-30 0.004530 0.010335 0.018686 0.030471 0.045779 0.064266 0.087618
2025-12-07 0.003980 0.009651 0.018016 0.029999 0.045723 0.064847 0.089133
2025-12-14 0.003486 0.009013 0.017380 0.029546 0.045670 0.065415 0.090619
2025-12-21 0.002931 0.008214 0.016468 0.028685 0.045063 0.065280 0.091237
2025-12-28 0.002811 0.008175 0.016677 0.029358 0.046445 0.067608 0.094848
2026-01-04 0.002605 0.007962 0.016610 0.029642 0.047314 0.069295 0.097678